Traders see the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 21 hovering near the 14–15°C threshold, with market-implied odds nearly even between 14°C or below and exactly 15°C. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate an overnight low in the 15–18°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where Madrid’s average minimum for the date sits near 15°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban heat effects versus rural measurement sites, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to moderate the drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
16°C 97%
14°C or below 51%
15°C 49%
17°C <1%
14°C or below
51%
15°C
49%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97%
14°C or below 51%
15°C 49%
17°C <1%
14°C or below
51%
15°C
49%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Madrid on September 21 hovering near the 14–15°C threshold, with market-implied odds nearly even between 14°C or below and exactly 15°C. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and GFS models indicate an overnight low in the 15–18°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where Madrid’s average minimum for the date sits near 15°C. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban heat effects versus rural measurement sites, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to moderate the drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা