Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, driven by a sharp energy price surge from geopolitical tensions, has elevated market-implied odds for May annual inflation clustering around 4.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 4.18% for May headline CPI, reflecting persistent goods price pressures and shelter components that have outpaced earlier forecasts. With the top two outcomes at 40.5% for exactly 4.3% and 36.5% for 4.4% or higher, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over the extent of energy passthrough versus potential moderation in core measures. The June 10 release looms as the key resolution catalyst, with implied probabilities pricing in a modest reacceleration from April amid broader tariff and fiscal influences.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.3% 41%
≥4.4% 37%
4.2% 22%
3.9% <1%
$170,736 Vol.
$170,736 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
1%
4.2%
22%
4.3%
41%
≥4.4%
37%
4.3% 41%
≥4.4% 37%
4.2% 22%
3.9% <1%
$170,736 Vol.
$170,736 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$11,333 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$9,413 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$15,459 Vol.
1%
3.6%
$11,094 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$10,001 Vol.
<1%
3.8%
$12,777 Vol.
<1%
3.9%
$15,970 Vol.
1%
4.0%
$12,090 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$12,182 Vol.
1%
4.2%
$19,458 Vol.
22%
4.3%
$27,539 Vol.
41%
≥4.4%
$16,531 Vol.
37%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, driven by a sharp energy price surge from geopolitical tensions, has elevated market-implied odds for May annual inflation clustering around 4.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 4.18% for May headline CPI, reflecting persistent goods price pressures and shelter components that have outpaced earlier forecasts. With the top two outcomes at 40.5% for exactly 4.3% and 36.5% for 4.4% or higher, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over the extent of energy passthrough versus potential moderation in core measures. The June 10 release looms as the key resolution catalyst, with implied probabilities pricing in a modest reacceleration from April amid broader tariff and fiscal influences.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$170,736শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, driven by a sharp energy price surge from geopolitical tensions, has elevated market-implied odds for May annual inflation clustering around 4.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 4.18% for May headline CPI, reflecting persistent goods price pressures and shelter components that have outpaced earlier forecasts. With the top two outcomes at 40.5% for exactly 4.3% and 36.5% for 4.4% or higher, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over the extent of energy passthrough versus potential moderation in core measures. The June 10 release looms as the key resolution catalyst, with implied probabilities pricing in a modest reacceleration from April amid broader tariff and fiscal influences.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$170,736শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise, driven by a sharp energy price surge from geopolitical tensions, has elevated market-implied odds for May annual inflation clustering around 4.3%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 4.18% for May headline CPI, reflecting persistent goods price pressures and shelter components that have outpaced earlier forecasts. With the top two outcomes at 40.5% for exactly 4.3% and 36.5% for 4.4% or higher, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over the extent of energy passthrough versus potential moderation in core measures. The June 10 release looms as the key resolution catalyst, with implied probabilities pricing in a modest reacceleration from April amid broader tariff and fiscal influences.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা