The NV-02 race centers on an open seat long held by retiring Republican Mark Amodei in a district with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins, and a roughly 3-to-2 GOP registration edge. Recent June 9 primaries narrowed the field to Republican David Flippo, a Trump-endorsed retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, the former state assembly majority leader. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 72-73% Republican probability that reflects the district's structural tilt and limited Democratic path even in an open-seat year. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for turnout or national shifts to influence the final outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNV-02 House Election Winner
$19,963 Vol.
$19,963 Vol.
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
27%
$19,963 Vol.
$19,963 Vol.
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NV-02 race centers on an open seat long held by retiring Republican Mark Amodei in a district with an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins, and a roughly 3-to-2 GOP registration edge. Recent June 9 primaries narrowed the field to Republican David Flippo, a Trump-endorsed retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, and Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, the former state assembly majority leader. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 72-73% Republican probability that reflects the district's structural tilt and limited Democratic path even in an open-seat year. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for turnout or national shifts to influence the final outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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