In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) over Democrat Tom Begich (25.5%) in a fragmented nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, reflecting fundraising strength—both reported six-figure hauls in February disclosures—and Wilson's endorsements from figures like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds. A March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Dave Bronson and Matt Claman trailing, underscoring GOP vote-splitting risks in the crowded Republican field. The tight odds persist amid low name recognition and no dominant frontrunner; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline withdrawals, upcoming debates, or fresh polls clarifying top-four advancement paths to the ranked-choice general on November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.2%
$822,204 Vol.
$822,204 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Tom Begich
26%

Treg Taylor
15%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
1%

Adam Crum
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.2%
$822,204 Vol.
$822,204 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Tom Begich
26%

Treg Taylor
15%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
1%

Adam Crum
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) over Democrat Tom Begich (25.5%) in a fragmented nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, reflecting fundraising strength—both reported six-figure hauls in February disclosures—and Wilson's endorsements from figures like U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds. A March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with Dave Bronson and Matt Claman trailing, underscoring GOP vote-splitting risks in the crowded Republican field. The tight odds persist amid low name recognition and no dominant frontrunner; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline withdrawals, upcoming debates, or fresh polls clarifying top-four advancement paths to the ranked-choice general on November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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