Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 36th district with roughly 61% of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 65% for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lieu's established fundraising edge and the absence of major primary challenges or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Factors that could still alter outcomes include unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific developments within the final months, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-36 Wahlsieger
CA-36 Wahlsieger
$18,391 Vol.
$18,391 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$18,391 Vol.
$18,391 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$5,949 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$12,442 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 36th district with roughly 61% of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 65% for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lieu's established fundraising edge and the absence of major primary challenges or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Factors that could still alter outcomes include unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific developments within the final months, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$18,391Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 36th district with roughly 61% of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 65% for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lieu's established fundraising edge and the absence of major primary challenges or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Factors that could still alter outcomes include unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific developments within the final months, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,391Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 36th district with roughly 61% of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 65% for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lieu's established fundraising edge and the absence of major primary challenges or redistricting shifts have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. Factors that could still alter outcomes include unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific developments within the final months, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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