Recent preliminary data showing modest Canadian GDP expansion around 0.2% month-over-month in June, alongside resilient household spending and a projected Q2 rebound, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 44-48% across the 0.0-0.7% ranges. Traders appear to weigh mixed signals from labor market softening, oil price volatility, and Bank of Canada communications projecting gradual growth pickup against 2026 annual forecasts near 1.1-1.5%, creating competitive dynamics where small revisions or final adjustments could shift resolution among the leading buckets. Low tail probabilities below 0% or at 0.8%+ reflect limited conviction in sharp downside or upside surprises ahead of the August 28 release, with sentiment reflecting real-capital aggregation of these near-term economic crosscurrents rather than any single dominant catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0,6-0,7 % 47%
0,2-0,3 % 46%
0,0–0,1 % 46%
0,4-0,5 % 45%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
<0,0 %
7%
0,0–0,1 %
46%
0,2-0,3 %
46%
0,4-0,5 %
45%
0,6-0,7 %
47%
0,8 %+
6%
0,6-0,7 % 47%
0,2-0,3 % 46%
0,0–0,1 % 46%
0,4-0,5 % 45%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
<0,0 %
$0 Vol.
7%
0,0–0,1 %
$0 Vol.
46%
0,2-0,3 %
$0 Vol.
46%
0,4-0,5 %
$0 Vol.
45%
0,6-0,7 %
$0 Vol.
47%
0,8 %+
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Recent preliminary data showing modest Canadian GDP expansion around 0.2% month-over-month in June, alongside resilient household spending and a projected Q2 rebound, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 44-48% across the 0.0-0.7% ranges. Traders appear to weigh mixed signals from labor market softening, oil price volatility, and Bank of Canada communications projecting gradual growth pickup against 2026 annual forecasts near 1.1-1.5%, creating competitive dynamics where small revisions or final adjustments could shift resolution among the leading buckets. Low tail probabilities below 0% or at 0.8%+ reflect limited conviction in sharp downside or upside surprises ahead of the August 28 release, with sentiment reflecting real-capital aggregation of these near-term economic crosscurrents rather than any single dominant catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Recent preliminary data showing modest Canadian GDP expansion around 0.2% month-over-month in June, alongside resilient household spending and a projected Q2 rebound, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 44-48% across the 0.0-0.7% ranges. Traders appear to weigh mixed signals from labor market softening, oil price volatility, and Bank of Canada communications projecting gradual growth pickup against 2026 annual forecasts near 1.1-1.5%, creating competitive dynamics where small revisions or final adjustments could shift resolution among the leading buckets. Low tail probabilities below 0% or at 0.8%+ reflect limited conviction in sharp downside or upside surprises ahead of the August 28 release, with sentiment reflecting real-capital aggregation of these near-term economic crosscurrents rather than any single dominant catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary data showing modest Canadian GDP expansion around 0.2% month-over-month in June, alongside resilient household spending and a projected Q2 rebound, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 44-48% across the 0.0-0.7% ranges. Traders appear to weigh mixed signals from labor market softening, oil price volatility, and Bank of Canada communications projecting gradual growth pickup against 2026 annual forecasts near 1.1-1.5%, creating competitive dynamics where small revisions or final adjustments could shift resolution among the leading buckets. Low tail probabilities below 0% or at 0.8%+ reflect limited conviction in sharp downside or upside surprises ahead of the August 28 release, with sentiment reflecting real-capital aggregation of these near-term economic crosscurrents rather than any single dominant catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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