Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which sharply cuts new temporary resident admissions—including a 49% reduction in international student targets to 155,000 and a 37% drop in temporary worker entries to 230,000—while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5% by the end of 2027. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis projects that ongoing net outflows of non-permanent residents will fully offset permanent inflows, producing flat population growth in 2026. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% national decline in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first annual drop since Confederation, driven by the same policy tightening. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed policy shifts and resulting demographic trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGestiegen
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2027
Gestiegen
NEU
NEU
30. Apr. 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which sharply cuts new temporary resident admissions—including a 49% reduction in international student targets to 155,000 and a 37% drop in temporary worker entries to 230,000—while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5% by the end of 2027. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis projects that ongoing net outflows of non-permanent residents will fully offset permanent inflows, producing flat population growth in 2026. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% national decline in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first annual drop since Confederation, driven by the same policy tightening. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed policy shifts and resulting demographic trends.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,488Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which sharply cuts new temporary resident admissions—including a 49% reduction in international student targets to 155,000 and a 37% drop in temporary worker entries to 230,000—while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5% by the end of 2027. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis projects that ongoing net outflows of non-permanent residents will fully offset permanent inflows, producing flat population growth in 2026. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% national decline in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first annual drop since Confederation, driven by the same policy tightening. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed policy shifts and resulting demographic trends.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,488Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which sharply cuts new temporary resident admissions—including a 49% reduction in international student targets to 155,000 and a 37% drop in temporary worker entries to 230,000—while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to reduce the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5% by the end of 2027. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis projects that ongoing net outflows of non-permanent residents will fully offset permanent inflows, producing flat population growth in 2026. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% national decline in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first annual drop since Confederation, driven by the same policy tightening. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed policy shifts and resulting demographic trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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