Canada’s federal government implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, sharply cutting new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier measures that already produced net outflows of non-permanent residents, driving quarterly population declines through 2025 and into the first quarter of 2026 according to Statistics Canada estimates. Natural increase remains near zero or negative as deaths exceed births. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate these outflows will offset permanent resident gains, resulting in flat or slightly negative total population growth for 2026—the second consecutive year of stagnation after prior rapid expansion. Trader consensus reflects these sustained policy effects on inflows, outflows, and demographic balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGestiegen
Gestiegen
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, sharply cutting new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier measures that already produced net outflows of non-permanent residents, driving quarterly population declines through 2025 and into the first quarter of 2026 according to Statistics Canada estimates. Natural increase remains near zero or negative as deaths exceed births. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate these outflows will offset permanent resident gains, resulting in flat or slightly negative total population growth for 2026—the second consecutive year of stagnation after prior rapid expansion. Trader consensus reflects these sustained policy effects on inflows, outflows, and demographic balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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