Canada’s population experienced its first annual decline on record in 2025, falling 0.2 percent or roughly 102,000 people by January 1, 2026, according to Statistics Canada’s latest quarterly estimates. This shift stems directly from federal policy adjustments under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which lowered permanent-resident targets to 380,000 annually while sharply cutting new temporary-resident arrivals, including students and workers, to bring their share of the total population below 5 percent by year-end. Parliamentary Budget Office projections now anticipate flat population growth for 2026 overall, with net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting modest permanent inflows. These verified policy changes and confirmed demographic data explain the current trader consensus favoring a further decline this year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGestiegen
Gestiegen
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s population experienced its first annual decline on record in 2025, falling 0.2 percent or roughly 102,000 people by January 1, 2026, according to Statistics Canada’s latest quarterly estimates. This shift stems directly from federal policy adjustments under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which lowered permanent-resident targets to 380,000 annually while sharply cutting new temporary-resident arrivals, including students and workers, to bring their share of the total population below 5 percent by year-end. Parliamentary Budget Office projections now anticipate flat population growth for 2026 overall, with net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting modest permanent inflows. These verified policy changes and confirmed demographic data explain the current trader consensus favoring a further decline this year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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