**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Vol.
$63,649 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Vol.
$63,649 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
73°F or below
$263 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,675 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,091 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$10,633 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,851 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,851 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$6,629 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,719 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,769 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,557 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$4,611 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$63,649Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63,649Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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