National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high temperature of 76°F at O'Hare International Airport today under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 54°F or higher. Current observations already show midday readings near 79°F, aligning with model consensus from recent GFS and NAM runs that indicate peak heating this afternoon amid low cloud cover and high pressure dominance. Historical April 21 normals hover around 61°F, making sub-54°F outcomes climatologically improbable without an unforeseen cold front or marine influence, which satellite imagery and upper-air analyses rule out; resolution awaits official daily maximum from NOAA archives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 21. April?
54°F oder höher 100%
35°F oder darunter <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$143,941 Vol.
$143,941 Vol.
35°F oder darunter
Nein
36-37°F
Nein
38-39°F
Nein
40-41°F
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Nein
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54°F oder höher
Ja
54°F oder höher 100%
35°F oder darunter <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$143,941 Vol.
$143,941 Vol.
35°F oder darunter
Nein
36-37°F
Nein
38-39°F
Nein
40-41°F
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Nein
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54°F oder höher
Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high temperature of 76°F at O'Hare International Airport today under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 54°F or higher. Current observations already show midday readings near 79°F, aligning with model consensus from recent GFS and NAM runs that indicate peak heating this afternoon amid low cloud cover and high pressure dominance. Historical April 21 normals hover around 61°F, making sub-54°F outcomes climatologically improbable without an unforeseen cold front or marine influence, which satellite imagery and upper-air analyses rule out; resolution awaits official daily maximum from NOAA archives.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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