Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (33.5%) and 54-55°F (33.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid a post-heat-wave pattern shift. After March 2026's record warmth—averaging 51.6°F versus a normal 41.5°F—a cooler upper-air mass and gusty winds (30-40 mph under Red Flag Warning for fire risk) are suppressing daytime heating below the April 3 normal of 60°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind mixing efficiency, with peak temps likely 2-4 PM MDT; intraday NWS updates and DIA observations could tip the balance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
52-53°F 38%
54-55°F 33%
50-51°F 16%
56-57°F 6%
$37,017 Vol.
$37,017 Vol.
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 38%
54-55°F 33%
50-51°F 16%
56-57°F 6%
$37,017 Vol.
$37,017 Vol.
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (33.5%) and 54-55°F (33.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid a post-heat-wave pattern shift. After March 2026's record warmth—averaging 51.6°F versus a normal 41.5°F—a cooler upper-air mass and gusty winds (30-40 mph under Red Flag Warning for fire risk) are suppressing daytime heating below the April 3 normal of 60°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind mixing efficiency, with peak temps likely 2-4 PM MDT; intraday NWS updates and DIA observations could tip the balance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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