Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for a 31°C high temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, with 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting recent observations of a warm spell where April 2026 averages 24.6°C—2.1°C above normal—and yesterday's actual peak of 31°C despite forecasts near 30°C. Clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote strong daytime heating through enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, amplified by Guangzhou's urban heat island effect. China Meteorological Administration and local forecasts project 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate potential for 31–32°C peaks amid low wind and dry antecedent conditions. Watch afternoon hourly readings from the Baiyun station for resolution, as isolated thunderstorms could cap intensities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 98.0%
32°C 5%
33°C 2.6%
37°C <1%
NEU
$13,604 Vol.
NEU
$13,604 Vol.
16. Apr. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98.0%
32°C 5%
33°C 2.6%
37°C <1%
NEU
$13,604 Vol.
NEU
$13,604 Vol.
16. Apr. 2026
29°C or below
$3,211 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,784 Vol.
98%
32°C
$954 Vol.
5%
33°C
$948 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,121 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,402 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$539 Vol.
1%
38°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for a 31°C high temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, with 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting recent observations of a warm spell where April 2026 averages 24.6°C—2.1°C above normal—and yesterday's actual peak of 31°C despite forecasts near 30°C. Clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote strong daytime heating through enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, amplified by Guangzhou's urban heat island effect. China Meteorological Administration and local forecasts project 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate potential for 31–32°C peaks amid low wind and dry antecedent conditions. Watch afternoon hourly readings from the Baiyun station for resolution, as isolated thunderstorms could cap intensities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$13,604Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for a 31°C high temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, with 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting recent observations of a warm spell where April 2026 averages 24.6°C—2.1°C above normal—and yesterday's actual peak of 31°C despite forecasts near 30°C. Clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote strong daytime heating through enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, amplified by Guangzhou's urban heat island effect. China Meteorological Administration and local forecasts project 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate potential for 31–32°C peaks amid low wind and dry antecedent conditions. Watch afternoon hourly readings from the Baiyun station for resolution, as isolated thunderstorms could cap intensities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,604Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for a 31°C high temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, with 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting recent observations of a warm spell where April 2026 averages 24.6°C—2.1°C above normal—and yesterday's actual peak of 31°C despite forecasts near 30°C. Clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote strong daytime heating through enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, amplified by Guangzhou's urban heat island effect. China Meteorological Administration and local forecasts project 29–30°C under partly cloudy conditions, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate potential for 31–32°C peaks amid low wind and dry antecedent conditions. Watch afternoon hourly readings from the Baiyun station for resolution, as isolated thunderstorms could cap intensities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen