Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 remains tightly clustered around mid-teens Celsius outcomes, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% slightly ahead amid divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing max temps spanning 12–18°C. Recent cool conditions, including an observed high near 13°C on April 14 per market resolution trends, reflect persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea, suppressing warming. Differentiating factors include potential southerly temperature advection if high-pressure builds, versus renewed frontal activity; historical mid-April averages hover at 16°C, with model consensus leaning cooler due to spring variability. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution at official Istanbul stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 32%
14°C 27%
10°C 11%
11°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Apr. 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
11%
11°C
11%
12°C
11%
13°C
32%
14°C
27%
15°C
10%
16°C
10%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
6%
13°C 32%
14°C 27%
10°C 11%
11°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Apr. 2026
8°C or below
$342 Vol.
2%
9°C
$137 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$25 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$158 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$206 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 remains tightly clustered around mid-teens Celsius outcomes, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% slightly ahead amid divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing max temps spanning 12–18°C. Recent cool conditions, including an observed high near 13°C on April 14 per market resolution trends, reflect persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea, suppressing warming. Differentiating factors include potential southerly temperature advection if high-pressure builds, versus renewed frontal activity; historical mid-April averages hover at 16°C, with model consensus leaning cooler due to spring variability. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution at official Istanbul stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$868Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 remains tightly clustered around mid-teens Celsius outcomes, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% slightly ahead amid divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing max temps spanning 12–18°C. Recent cool conditions, including an observed high near 13°C on April 14 per market resolution trends, reflect persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea, suppressing warming. Differentiating factors include potential southerly temperature advection if high-pressure builds, versus renewed frontal activity; historical mid-April averages hover at 16°C, with model consensus leaning cooler due to spring variability. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution at official Istanbul stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$868Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17 remains tightly clustered around mid-teens Celsius outcomes, with 18°C or higher at 25.5% slightly ahead amid divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing max temps spanning 12–18°C. Recent cool conditions, including an observed high near 13°C on April 14 per market resolution trends, reflect persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure system over the Black Sea, suppressing warming. Differentiating factors include potential southerly temperature advection if high-pressure builds, versus renewed frontal activity; historical mid-April averages hover at 16°C, with model consensus leaning cooler due to spring variability. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution at official Istanbul stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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