Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF projects Chengdu's highest temperature on April 15 at around 24°C, anchoring the 41% implied probability for that outcome amid morning observations of 16°C under cloudy skies with light showers. Current conditions in the Sichuan Basin—prone to springtime variability from temperature inversions and frontal systems—support trader sentiment favoring 24°C (41%) over 25°C (29%) or 23°C (24.5%), aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 23–25°C. Uncertainty persists due to potential overcast suppression or brief clearing boosting peaks; hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 15. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 15. April?
24°C 41%
25°C 31%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
NEU
$40,009 Vol.
NEU
$40,009 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
41%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C oder höher
1%
24°C 41%
25°C 31%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
NEU
$40,009 Vol.
NEU
$40,009 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$7,838 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,136 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,522 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,403 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,160 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,488 Vol.
22%
24°C
$1,362 Vol.
41%
25°C
$2,337 Vol.
31%
26°C
$6,205 Vol.
4%
27°C oder höher
$4,775 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF projects Chengdu's highest temperature on April 15 at around 24°C, anchoring the 41% implied probability for that outcome amid morning observations of 16°C under cloudy skies with light showers. Current conditions in the Sichuan Basin—prone to springtime variability from temperature inversions and frontal systems—support trader sentiment favoring 24°C (41%) over 25°C (29%) or 23°C (24.5%), aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 23–25°C. Uncertainty persists due to potential overcast suppression or brief clearing boosting peaks; hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$40,009Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF projects Chengdu's highest temperature on April 15 at around 24°C, anchoring the 41% implied probability for that outcome amid morning observations of 16°C under cloudy skies with light showers. Current conditions in the Sichuan Basin—prone to springtime variability from temperature inversions and frontal systems—support trader sentiment favoring 24°C (41%) over 25°C (29%) or 23°C (24.5%), aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 23–25°C. Uncertainty persists due to potential overcast suppression or brief clearing boosting peaks; hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40,009Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF projects Chengdu's highest temperature on April 15 at around 24°C, anchoring the 41% implied probability for that outcome amid morning observations of 16°C under cloudy skies with light showers. Current conditions in the Sichuan Basin—prone to springtime variability from temperature inversions and frontal systems—support trader sentiment favoring 24°C (41%) over 25°C (29%) or 23°C (24.5%), aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 23–25°C. Uncertainty persists due to potential overcast suppression or brief clearing boosting peaks; hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will refine probabilities as the day unfolds toward evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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