Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
16°C 20%
19°C 20%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
11%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
20%
20°C
13%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
16°C 20%
19°C 20%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
11%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
20%
20°C
13%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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