Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. April?
29°C 100.0%
21°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Vol.
$581,636 Vol.
22. Apr. 2026
21°C oder darunter
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
21°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Vol.
$581,636 Vol.
22. Apr. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$18,446 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$4,539 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$4,466 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$8,278 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$26,970 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$29,152 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$59,288 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$246,538 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$110,327 Vol.
Ja
30°C
$45,915 Vol.
Nein
31°C oder höher
$27,717 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$581,636Enddatum
22. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$581,636Enddatum
22. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen