Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in London on April 17 under sunny intervals and light southwesterly winds of 4-12 mph, with dry conditions after early morning and peak heating around 2-5 pm—driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 38% implied probability. The razor-thin margin over 17°C (36.5%) reflects modest ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models following recent cooler unsettled weather after early April's 26.6°C heat, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud cover limiting insolation and boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at key sites like Heathrow could nudge readings higher, while new advisories due April 16 morning may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 17. April?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 17. April?
18°C 38%
17°C 38%
16°C 12.0%
19°C 12%
$18,762 Vol.
$18,762 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 38%
16°C 12.0%
19°C 12%
$18,762 Vol.
$18,762 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 15 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in London on April 17 under sunny intervals and light southwesterly winds of 4-12 mph, with dry conditions after early morning and peak heating around 2-5 pm—driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 38% implied probability. The razor-thin margin over 17°C (36.5%) reflects modest ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models following recent cooler unsettled weather after early April's 26.6°C heat, with uncertainty hinging on afternoon cloud cover limiting insolation and boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at key sites like Heathrow could nudge readings higher, while new advisories due April 16 morning may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen