Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 23. Juni?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 Vol.
$66,172 Vol.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 Vol.
$66,172 Vol.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 21, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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