**Recent official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles points to a highest temperature near 31–33 °C in Lucknow on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (38.5 %).** Widespread thundery development and spells of rain or showers are forecast that day, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime maxima. Current conditions show temperatures running 1–2 °C below normal amid active monsoon flow, with easterly winds and high humidity (70–80 %) further limiting heating. Consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and IMD outlooks keeps the daily peak in the low-30s °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before any post-monsoon clearing. The 31 °C and 33 °C contracts trade at 21–22 % each because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Higher outcomes (34 °C+) remain low-probability as sustained cloudiness and precipitation are the dominant near-term signal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 14. September?
32°C 41%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C oder höher
5%
32°C 41%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$80 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$12 Vol.
9%
31°C
$32 Vol.
23%
32°C
$17 Vol.
41%
33°C
$45 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles points to a highest temperature near 31–33 °C in Lucknow on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (38.5 %).** Widespread thundery development and spells of rain or showers are forecast that day, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime maxima. Current conditions show temperatures running 1–2 °C below normal amid active monsoon flow, with easterly winds and high humidity (70–80 %) further limiting heating.
Consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and IMD outlooks keeps the daily peak in the low-30s °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before any post-monsoon clearing. The 31 °C and 33 °C contracts trade at 21–22 % each because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Higher outcomes (34 °C+) remain low-probability as sustained cloudiness and precipitation are the dominant near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$266Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles points to a highest temperature near 31–33 °C in Lucknow on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (38.5 %).** Widespread thundery development and spells of rain or showers are forecast that day, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime maxima. Current conditions show temperatures running 1–2 °C below normal amid active monsoon flow, with easterly winds and high humidity (70–80 %) further limiting heating.
Consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and IMD outlooks keeps the daily peak in the low-30s °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before any post-monsoon clearing. The 31 °C and 33 °C contracts trade at 21–22 % each because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Higher outcomes (34 °C+) remain low-probability as sustained cloudiness and precipitation are the dominant near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$266Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global ensembles points to a highest temperature near 31–33 °C in Lucknow on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (38.5 %).** Widespread thundery development and spells of rain or showers are forecast that day, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime maxima. Current conditions show temperatures running 1–2 °C below normal amid active monsoon flow, with easterly winds and high humidity (70–80 %) further limiting heating. Consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and IMD outlooks keeps the daily peak in the low-30s °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before any post-monsoon clearing. The 31 °C and 33 °C contracts trade at 21–22 % each because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Higher outcomes (34 °C+) remain low-probability as sustained cloudiness and precipitation are the dominant near-term signal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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