Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 17. Partly cloudy skies with a 55–60% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity near 70–80%, are expected to moderate daytime heating and prevent stronger warming. Recent station readings, including a 33.9°C maximum at Lucknow Airport on September 14, align with this range, while climatological September averages hover near 32–33°C. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 32°C or above 35°C absent a clear model shift. Updated National Weather Service or IMD guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 17. September?
33°C 43%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 10%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
18%
33°C
43%
34°C
29%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C oder höher
2%
33°C 43%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 10%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
18%
33°C
43%
34°C
29%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus and observational data position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s maximum temperature on September 17. Partly cloudy skies with a 55–60% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity near 70–80%, are expected to moderate daytime heating and prevent stronger warming. Recent station readings, including a 33.9°C maximum at Lucknow Airport on September 14, align with this range, while climatological September averages hover near 32–33°C. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 32°C or above 35°C absent a clear model shift. Updated National Weather Service or IMD guidance ahead of the date could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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