Recent forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and national services show a broad consensus for peak daytime temperatures in Milan around 36–37°C on August 5 under strong anticyclonic conditions, clear skies, and light southerly flow typical of midsummer in the Po Valley. This setup favors rapid daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate surface temperatures, while regional climatology places early-August maxima near 30–32°C on average, making the current warmer pattern a notable positive anomaly. Minor model spread around 35–38°C underpins the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes, with updates from official agencies expected in the next 24–48 hours as the event window approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 5. August?
36°C 54%
35°C 34%
37°C 27%
33°C or below 11%
33°C or below
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
28%
36°C
54%
37°C
27%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
36°C 54%
35°C 34%
37°C 27%
33°C or below 11%
33°C or below
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
28%
36°C
54%
37°C
27%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and national services show a broad consensus for peak daytime temperatures in Milan around 36–37°C on August 5 under strong anticyclonic conditions, clear skies, and light southerly flow typical of midsummer in the Po Valley. This setup favors rapid daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate surface temperatures, while regional climatology places early-August maxima near 30–32°C on average, making the current warmer pattern a notable positive anomaly. Minor model spread around 35–38°C underpins the market’s tight clustering on those outcomes, with updates from official agencies expected in the next 24–48 hours as the event window approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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