Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 Vol.
$63,310 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 Vol.
$63,310 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
17°C or below
$2,636 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,676 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,296 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,942 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,459 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,329 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,892 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$10,829 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,204 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,285 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$5,764 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$63,310Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,310Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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