Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on May 31?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$217,214 Vol.
$217,214 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$217,214 Vol.
$217,214 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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