Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with National Weather Service forecasts showing San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs clustering in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on April 19, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge over California promoting subsidence warming and gusty north-to-northeast winds of 10-20 mph eroding persistent marine stratus clouds. Recent developments include overnight clearing observed April 16-17 after early-month rains kept highs in the mid-50s, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on 65-68°F peaks amid seasonably warm weekend patterns—above the April climatological average of 64°F. Differentiation among 64-65°F (22%), 66-67°F (34%), and 68-69°F (26%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon stratus burn-off and peak solar insolation; new NWS advisories and model runs expected Saturday morning could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 22%
62-63°F 12%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
26%
70°F or higher
10%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 22%
62-63°F 12%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
26%
70°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with National Weather Service forecasts showing San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs clustering in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on April 19, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge over California promoting subsidence warming and gusty north-to-northeast winds of 10-20 mph eroding persistent marine stratus clouds. Recent developments include overnight clearing observed April 16-17 after early-month rains kept highs in the mid-50s, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on 65-68°F peaks amid seasonably warm weekend patterns—above the April climatological average of 64°F. Differentiation among 64-65°F (22%), 66-67°F (34%), and 68-69°F (26%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon stratus burn-off and peak solar insolation; new NWS advisories and model runs expected Saturday morning could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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