Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited daytime heating for São Paulo on August 11, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 16–18°C under overcast skies and a southerly flow advecting cooler, moister air from the South Atlantic. August marks peak Southern Hemisphere winter, when average highs reach ~24°C; the current pattern reflects suppressed insolation from persistent cloud cover and weak frontal influences that reduce surface warming rates. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk to 18°C if brief clearing occurs midday. Resolution hinges on official INMET or similar station readings of the daily maximum, where even small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can differentiate outcomes within this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 11. August?
17°C 39%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 14%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
33%
17°C
39%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C oder höher
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 14%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
$47 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$47 Vol.
1%
14°C
$47 Vol.
2%
15°C
$268 Vol.
14%
16°C
$297 Vol.
33%
17°C
$188 Vol.
39%
18°C
$346 Vol.
15%
19°C
$65 Vol.
2%
20°C
$59 Vol.
2%
21°C oder höher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited daytime heating for São Paulo on August 11, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 16–18°C under overcast skies and a southerly flow advecting cooler, moister air from the South Atlantic. August marks peak Southern Hemisphere winter, when average highs reach ~24°C; the current pattern reflects suppressed insolation from persistent cloud cover and weak frontal influences that reduce surface warming rates. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk to 18°C if brief clearing occurs midday. Resolution hinges on official INMET or similar station readings of the daily maximum, where even small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can differentiate outcomes within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,467Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited daytime heating for São Paulo on August 11, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 16–18°C under overcast skies and a southerly flow advecting cooler, moister air from the South Atlantic. August marks peak Southern Hemisphere winter, when average highs reach ~24°C; the current pattern reflects suppressed insolation from persistent cloud cover and weak frontal influences that reduce surface warming rates. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk to 18°C if brief clearing occurs midday. Resolution hinges on official INMET or similar station readings of the daily maximum, where even small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can differentiate outcomes within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,467Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited daytime heating for São Paulo on August 11, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 16–18°C under overcast skies and a southerly flow advecting cooler, moister air from the South Atlantic. August marks peak Southern Hemisphere winter, when average highs reach ~24°C; the current pattern reflects suppressed insolation from persistent cloud cover and weak frontal influences that reduce surface warming rates. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C because ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk to 18°C if brief clearing occurs midday. Resolution hinges on official INMET or similar station readings of the daily maximum, where even small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can differentiate outcomes within this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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