Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds clustered tightly at 14°C (28.5%), 15°C (20.5%), and 13°C (17.5%). This positioning stems from a persistent warm spring pattern over the past week, where southerly winds have advected milder air masses, pushing daytime highs above late-March seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing peaks and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing; inherent short-term uncertainty persists, with KMA's next forecast cycle likely to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul am 29. März?
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
$97,185 Vol.
$97,185 Vol.
7°C oder niedriger
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
18%
14°C
29%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C oder höher
9%
14°C 29%
15°C 21%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
$97,185 Vol.
$97,185 Vol.
7°C oder niedriger
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
18%
14°C
29%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C oder höher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds clustered tightly at 14°C (28.5%), 15°C (20.5%), and 13°C (17.5%). This positioning stems from a persistent warm spring pattern over the past week, where southerly winds have advected milder air masses, pushing daytime highs above late-March seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover suppressing peaks and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing; inherent short-term uncertainty persists, with KMA's next forecast cycle likely to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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