Trader sentiment favors 16°C (24%) and 15°C (19.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on mid-teens Celsius peaks amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Historical March highs average 13-15°C, but recent runs show upward bias from reduced cloud cover enhancing diurnal warming, differentiating 17°C (15%) contenders from cooler 13-14°C options (28.5% combined) tied to potential frontal remnants. Turkish State Meteorological Service projections align closely at 15-16°C, with low odds for extremes reflecting slim tails in model spread and typical spring variability; traders monitor hourly updates for resolution-defining observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. März?
16°C 24%
15°C 20%
17°C 15%
13°C 15%
8°C oder niedriger
2%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
10%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
20%
16°C
24%
17°C
15%
18°C oder höher
11%
16°C 24%
15°C 20%
17°C 15%
13°C 15%
8°C oder niedriger
2%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
10%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
20%
16°C
24%
17°C
15%
18°C oder höher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 16°C (24%) and 15°C (19.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on March 28, propelled by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on mid-teens Celsius peaks amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Historical March highs average 13-15°C, but recent runs show upward bias from reduced cloud cover enhancing diurnal warming, differentiating 17°C (15%) contenders from cooler 13-14°C options (28.5% combined) tied to potential frontal remnants. Turkish State Meteorological Service projections align closely at 15-16°C, with low odds for extremes reflecting slim tails in model spread and typical spring variability; traders monitor hourly updates for resolution-defining observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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