The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 Vol.
$132,782 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 Vol.
$132,782 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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