**Forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 25, 2026, cluster around 28–30°C highs, driving the even distribution across 27–34°C outcomes in the market.** Multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local Israeli services, indicate partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 15–25 km/h moderating coastal temperatures. This aligns with the typical late-September transition in the eastern Mediterranean, where seasonal cooling from summer peaks (historical September averages near 29°C) combines with stable high pressure and low precipitation chances under 5–10%. Slight day-to-day variability arises from minor cloud cover fluctuations and wind shifts that can alter the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations show a modest temperature decline from earlier in the week, with no strong heat advection or cold front expected to push extremes. Model runs exhibit close agreement on the overall regime but diverge modestly on exact diurnal timing and marine influence, creating genuine uncertainty within the 26–34°C window that matches the balanced trader odds. Newer forecast updates or observational data closer to the date could refine the peak within this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. September?
30°C 37%
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
33°C 32%
26°C oder weniger
4%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
19%
30°C
40%
31°C
13%
32°C
17%
33°C
32%
34°C
32%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
4%
30°C 37%
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
33°C 32%
26°C oder weniger
4%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
19%
30°C
40%
31°C
13%
32°C
17%
33°C
32%
34°C
32%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 25, 2026, cluster around 28–30°C highs, driving the even distribution across 27–34°C outcomes in the market.** Multiple meteorological sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local Israeli services, indicate partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 15–25 km/h moderating coastal temperatures. This aligns with the typical late-September transition in the eastern Mediterranean, where seasonal cooling from summer peaks (historical September averages near 29°C) combines with stable high pressure and low precipitation chances under 5–10%. Slight day-to-day variability arises from minor cloud cover fluctuations and wind shifts that can alter the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations show a modest temperature decline from earlier in the week, with no strong heat advection or cold front expected to push extremes. Model runs exhibit close agreement on the overall regime but diverge modestly on exact diurnal timing and marine influence, creating genuine uncertainty within the 26–34°C window that matches the balanced trader odds. Newer forecast updates or observational data closer to the date could refine the peak within this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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