Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and high pressure typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs, with afternoon dew points near 22–24°C and minimal cloud cover, underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and the 27% share for 34°C. Limited variability in steering patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond historical norms support the tight distribution, while ongoing hourly observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 8. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 8. September?
33°C 72%
34°C 27%
32°C 2%
35°C 1.3%
NEU
$16,275 Vol.
NEU
$16,275 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
30°C oder darunter
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
72%
34°C
27%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 27%
32°C 2%
35°C 1.3%
NEU
$16,275 Vol.
NEU
$16,275 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
30°C oder darunter
$654 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,027 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,009 Vol.
2%
33°C
$3,993 Vol.
72%
34°C
$3,036 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1,320 Vol.
1%
36°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
40°C oder höher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and high pressure typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs, with afternoon dew points near 22–24°C and minimal cloud cover, underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and the 27% share for 34°C. Limited variability in steering patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond historical norms support the tight distribution, while ongoing hourly observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$16,275Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and high pressure typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs, with afternoon dew points near 22–24°C and minimal cloud cover, underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and the 27% share for 34°C. Limited variability in steering patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond historical norms support the tight distribution, while ongoing hourly observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,275Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 8 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and high pressure typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs, with afternoon dew points near 22–24°C and minimal cloud cover, underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability for 33°C and the 27% share for 34°C. Limited variability in steering patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond historical norms support the tight distribution, while ongoing hourly observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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