Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on September 18, 2026, as the primary driver behind the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September conditions feature moderating subtropical monsoon influences, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and humidity levels around 40-60% limiting afternoon heating. Official guidance shows afternoon peaks stabilizing near 27-29°C without significant frontal passages or enhanced solar radiation. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement and typical seasonal baselines against minor forecast spreads that could shift the precise maximum by 1°C depending on official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 18. September?
28°C 44%
29°C 26%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 26%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$188 Vol.
24%
28°C
$12 Vol.
30%
29°C
$12 Vol.
27%
30°C
$232 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$19 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on September 18, 2026, as the primary driver behind the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September conditions feature moderating subtropical monsoon influences, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and humidity levels around 40-60% limiting afternoon heating. Official guidance shows afternoon peaks stabilizing near 27-29°C without significant frontal passages or enhanced solar radiation. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement and typical seasonal baselines against minor forecast spreads that could shift the precise maximum by 1°C depending on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,206Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on September 18, 2026, as the primary driver behind the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September conditions feature moderating subtropical monsoon influences, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and humidity levels around 40-60% limiting afternoon heating. Official guidance shows afternoon peaks stabilizing near 27-29°C without significant frontal passages or enhanced solar radiation. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement and typical seasonal baselines against minor forecast spreads that could shift the precise maximum by 1°C depending on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,206Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high near 28°C in Zhengzhou on September 18, 2026, as the primary driver behind the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September conditions feature moderating subtropical monsoon influences, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and humidity levels around 40-60% limiting afternoon heating. Official guidance shows afternoon peaks stabilizing near 27-29°C without significant frontal passages or enhanced solar radiation. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement and typical seasonal baselines against minor forecast spreads that could shift the precise maximum by 1°C depending on official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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