The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s D+18 partisan voter index and strong Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where the 2024 presidential results showed a 33-point Democratic margin. Limited recent developments have left little impetus for significant shifts, though late-cycle factors such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-02 Wahlsieger
IL-02 Wahlsieger
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$13,630 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$18,507 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s D+18 partisan voter index and strong Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where the 2024 presidential results showed a 33-point Democratic margin. Limited recent developments have left little impetus for significant shifts, though late-cycle factors such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$32,137Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s D+18 partisan voter index and strong Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where the 2024 presidential results showed a 33-point Democratic margin. Limited recent developments have left little impetus for significant shifts, though late-cycle factors such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,137Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s D+18 partisan voter index and strong Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where the 2024 presidential results showed a 33-point Democratic margin. Limited recent developments have left little impetus for significant shifts, though late-cycle factors such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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