Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 17–24 remains tightly contested, with 10–14 posts at 25.4%, under 5 at 24%, and 35–39 at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the account's reduced cadence since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and activity has slowed to three archival reposts—Easter and Jesus-themed statements on April 5, a Zionist critique on April 7, and another Jesus message on April 13—amid a 40-day mourning period ending around April 9 and leadership transition signals toward son Mojtaba Khamenei. No posts in the last three days heightens bets on low output, but potential commemorative surges or Iran conflict escalations could favor higher bins and create separation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 17. April - 24. April 2026?
Khamenei # posts 17. April - 24. April 2026?
10–14 24.8%
35-39 21.9%
<5 22%
20-24 18.1%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<5
22%
5-9
13%
10–14
25%
15-19
10%
20-24
18%
25-29
16%
30-34
2%
35-39
22%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
6%
55-59
1%
60+
11%
10–14 24.8%
35-39 21.9%
<5 22%
20-24 18.1%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<5
$262 Vol.
22%
5-9
$263 Vol.
13%
10–14
$274 Vol.
25%
15-19
$219 Vol.
10%
20-24
$235 Vol.
18%
25-29
$311 Vol.
16%
30-34
$190 Vol.
2%
35-39
$217 Vol.
22%
40-44
$233 Vol.
3%
45-49
$239 Vol.
2%
50-54
$230 Vol.
6%
55-59
$225 Vol.
1%
60+
$262 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 17–24 remains tightly contested, with 10–14 posts at 25.4%, under 5 at 24%, and 35–39 at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the account's reduced cadence since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and activity has slowed to three archival reposts—Easter and Jesus-themed statements on April 5, a Zionist critique on April 7, and another Jesus message on April 13—amid a 40-day mourning period ending around April 9 and leadership transition signals toward son Mojtaba Khamenei. No posts in the last three days heightens bets on low output, but potential commemorative surges or Iran conflict escalations could favor higher bins and create separation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$3,159Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 17–24 remains tightly contested, with 10–14 posts at 25.4%, under 5 at 24%, and 35–39 at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the account's reduced cadence since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and activity has slowed to three archival reposts—Easter and Jesus-themed statements on April 5, a Zionist critique on April 7, and another Jesus message on April 13—amid a 40-day mourning period ending around April 9 and leadership transition signals toward son Mojtaba Khamenei. No posts in the last three days heightens bets on low output, but potential commemorative surges or Iran conflict escalations could favor higher bins and create separation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,159Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 17–24 remains tightly contested, with 10–14 posts at 25.4%, under 5 at 24%, and 35–39 at 22.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the account's reduced cadence since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran. The bio now designates him the "martyred Leader," and activity has slowed to three archival reposts—Easter and Jesus-themed statements on April 5, a Zionist critique on April 7, and another Jesus message on April 13—amid a 40-day mourning period ending around April 9 and leadership transition signals toward son Mojtaba Khamenei. No posts in the last three days heightens bets on low output, but potential commemorative surges or Iran conflict escalations could favor higher bins and create separation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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