Recent cooler conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on September 15, have tempered trader expectations for Ankara's September 17 overnight minimum. Ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs converge on lows of 13–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds (14°C leading at 30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind, and radiative cooling rates. Any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation from an approaching system could limit nocturnal temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end of the range near 13°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
16°C 39%
14°C 27%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
11%
12°C
11%
13°C
21%
14°C
27%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C oder höher
5%
16°C 39%
14°C 27%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooler conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on September 15, have tempered trader expectations for Ankara's September 17 overnight minimum. Ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs converge on lows of 13–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds (14°C leading at 30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind, and radiative cooling rates. Any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation from an approaching system could limit nocturnal temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end of the range near 13°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooler conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on September 15, have tempered trader expectations for Ankara's September 17 overnight minimum. Ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs converge on lows of 13–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds (14°C leading at 30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind, and radiative cooling rates. Any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation from an approaching system could limit nocturnal temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end of the range near 13°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooler conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on September 15, have tempered trader expectations for Ankara's September 17 overnight minimum. Ensemble and deterministic model guidance from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs converge on lows of 13–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds (14°C leading at 30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover, wind, and radiative cooling rates. Any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation from an approaching system could limit nocturnal temperature drops by reducing clear-sky heat loss, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end of the range near 13°C. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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