Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate September 2 overnight lows in Helsinki of 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling potential. This positions the 11–13 °C outcomes as the strongest market-implied cluster, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average minimum near 11.5 °C) and the absence of strong cold-air advection. The 16 °C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in minimum timing and cloud cover, while colder bins below 10 °C carry low weight absent rapid high-pressure development or clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 2. September?
15°C 98%
12°C 97%
11°C 96%
13°C 96%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
47%
9°C
47%
10°C
48%
11°C
96%
12°C
97%
13°C
96%
14°C
39%
15°C
98%
16°C or higher
16%
15°C 98%
12°C 97%
11°C 96%
13°C 96%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
47%
9°C
47%
10°C
48%
11°C
96%
12°C
97%
13°C
96%
14°C
39%
15°C
98%
16°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate September 2 overnight lows in Helsinki of 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and modest radiative cooling potential. This positions the 11–13 °C outcomes as the strongest market-implied cluster, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average minimum near 11.5 °C) and the absence of strong cold-air advection. The 16 °C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in minimum timing and cloud cover, while colder bins below 10 °C carry low weight absent rapid high-pressure development or clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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