Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a mostly sunny to clear pattern over Istanbul on September 2, 2026, with northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C (61%) and 20°C (50%). Historical early-September minima average 17–20°C, so the current outlook reflects a modestly warmer nocturnal profile driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the 24-hour minimum, with any deviation likely tied to minor variations in wind speed or cloud timing ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 2. September?
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 98%
19°C 78%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C
78%
20°C
100%
21°C
78%
22°C
61%
23°C
100%
24°C
77%
25°C
98%
26°C or higher
9%
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 98%
19°C 78%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$57 Vol.
13%
18°C
$69 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
78%
20°C
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
78%
22°C
$0 Vol.
61%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$4 Vol.
77%
25°C
$5 Vol.
98%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a mostly sunny to clear pattern over Istanbul on September 2, 2026, with northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C (61%) and 20°C (50%). Historical early-September minima average 17–20°C, so the current outlook reflects a modestly warmer nocturnal profile driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the 24-hour minimum, with any deviation likely tied to minor variations in wind speed or cloud timing ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$145Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a mostly sunny to clear pattern over Istanbul on September 2, 2026, with northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C (61%) and 20°C (50%). Historical early-September minima average 17–20°C, so the current outlook reflects a modestly warmer nocturnal profile driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the 24-hour minimum, with any deviation likely tied to minor variations in wind speed or cloud timing ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$145Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a mostly sunny to clear pattern over Istanbul on September 2, 2026, with northeasterly winds and high pressure supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C (61%) and 20°C (50%). Historical early-September minima average 17–20°C, so the current outlook reflects a modestly warmer nocturnal profile driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the 24-hour minimum, with any deviation likely tied to minor variations in wind speed or cloud timing ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen