Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 17. Juni?
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen