Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including widespread cloud cover, light drizzle, and isolated thunderstorms, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–27°C. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project a low near 27°C for August 28, with high humidity near 90% and light winds further moderating nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 25°C and 26°C, centers on the precise impact of any late-evening showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief dip toward 24–25°C. Historical August minima in the region average 26–27°C under similar conditions, providing context for the tight distribution around these thresholds. Updated observational data from local stations and the next model runs will clarify whether convective activity suppresses the low further or permits marginal additional cooling before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 28. August?
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
27°C 1.1%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
27°C 1.1%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including widespread cloud cover, light drizzle, and isolated thunderstorms, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–27°C. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project a low near 27°C for August 28, with high humidity near 90% and light winds further moderating nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 25°C and 26°C, centers on the precise impact of any late-evening showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief dip toward 24–25°C. Historical August minima in the region average 26–27°C under similar conditions, providing context for the tight distribution around these thresholds. Updated observational data from local stations and the next model runs will clarify whether convective activity suppresses the low further or permits marginal additional cooling before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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