Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. September?
11°C oder niedriger 100%
21°C oder höher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
11°C oder niedriger
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C oder höher
100%
11°C oder niedriger 100%
21°C oder höher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
11°C oder niedriger
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C oder höher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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