Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 5. Mai?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F oder niedriger <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
51°F oder niedriger
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Ja
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70°F oder höher
Nein
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F oder niedriger <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
51°F oder niedriger
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Ja
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen