Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely reach 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air masses from the western Pacific limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model consensus shows daytime highs near 32–34°C and dew points in the mid-20s°C, sustaining elevated overnight readings typical for late-August East Asian summer patterns. These dynamics position the 27°C outcome at 46% implied probability as the consensus favorite, followed by 28°C at 27%, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds absent a sudden cold front or clearer skies. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
27°C 46%
28°C 36%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
46%
28°C
36%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
9%
27°C 46%
28°C 36%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
36%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely reach 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air masses from the western Pacific limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model consensus shows daytime highs near 32–34°C and dew points in the mid-20s°C, sustaining elevated overnight readings typical for late-August East Asian summer patterns. These dynamics position the 27°C outcome at 46% implied probability as the consensus favorite, followed by 28°C at 27%, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds absent a sudden cold front or clearer skies. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$30Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely reach 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air masses from the western Pacific limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model consensus shows daytime highs near 32–34°C and dew points in the mid-20s°C, sustaining elevated overnight readings typical for late-August East Asian summer patterns. These dynamics position the 27°C outcome at 46% implied probability as the consensus favorite, followed by 28°C at 27%, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds absent a sudden cold front or clearer skies. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely reach 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air masses from the western Pacific limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model consensus shows daytime highs near 32–34°C and dew points in the mid-20s°C, sustaining elevated overnight readings typical for late-August East Asian summer patterns. These dynamics position the 27°C outcome at 46% implied probability as the consensus favorite, followed by 28°C at 27%, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds absent a sudden cold front or clearer skies. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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