**Consensus meteorological forecasts position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, with 28°C close behind.** Persistent light rain or drizzle, southeasterly winds under 3–7 m/s, and high humidity (often 80–92%) limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums near recent observations of 27–28°C. Model guidance shows little variability in the 26–29°C window, consistent with late-summer patterns of warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages. Traders have aligned probabilities (27°C at 58%, 28°C at 33%) with this tight forecast spread and low likelihood of extremes, as updated model runs continue to support the same narrow range ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 29. August?
27°C 62%
28°C 31%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
62%
28°C
31%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 31%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$136 Vol.
4%
26°C
$208 Vol.
7%
27°C
$968 Vol.
62%
28°C
$550 Vol.
31%
29°C
$146 Vol.
3%
30°C
$23 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus meteorological forecasts position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, with 28°C close behind.** Persistent light rain or drizzle, southeasterly winds under 3–7 m/s, and high humidity (often 80–92%) limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums near recent observations of 27–28°C. Model guidance shows little variability in the 26–29°C window, consistent with late-summer patterns of warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages. Traders have aligned probabilities (27°C at 58%, 28°C at 33%) with this tight forecast spread and low likelihood of extremes, as updated model runs continue to support the same narrow range ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,252Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus meteorological forecasts position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, with 28°C close behind.** Persistent light rain or drizzle, southeasterly winds under 3–7 m/s, and high humidity (often 80–92%) limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums near recent observations of 27–28°C. Model guidance shows little variability in the 26–29°C window, consistent with late-summer patterns of warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages. Traders have aligned probabilities (27°C at 58%, 28°C at 33%) with this tight forecast spread and low likelihood of extremes, as updated model runs continue to support the same narrow range ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,252Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus meteorological forecasts position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, with 28°C close behind.** Persistent light rain or drizzle, southeasterly winds under 3–7 m/s, and high humidity (often 80–92%) limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums near recent observations of 27–28°C. Model guidance shows little variability in the 26–29°C window, consistent with late-summer patterns of warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages. Traders have aligned probabilities (27°C at 58%, 28°C at 33%) with this tight forecast spread and low likelihood of extremes, as updated model runs continue to support the same narrow range ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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