Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. Juni?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,915 Vol.
$17,915 Vol.
17. Juni 2026
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,915 Vol.
$17,915 Vol.
17. Juni 2026
18°C oder darunter
$1,680 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,197 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$825 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$2,083 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$2,391 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$5,811 Vol.
Ja
24°C
$1,772 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$875 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$595 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$519 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$165 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$17,915Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,915Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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