Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and Met Office points to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by west-southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions reduce the potential for stronger overnight drops while keeping daytime maxima around 29–30°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, with probabilities clustered between 20–30°C because small shifts in timing, humidity, or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, but the current setup favors milder values unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from official agencies will likely tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 18. September?
30°C oder höher 62%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C oder darunter
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
36%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
62%
30°C oder höher 62%
27°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C oder darunter
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
36%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and Met Office points to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by west-southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions reduce the potential for stronger overnight drops while keeping daytime maxima around 29–30°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, with probabilities clustered between 20–30°C because small shifts in timing, humidity, or wind speed can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 23°C, but the current setup favors milder values unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from official agencies will likely tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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