Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicates Toronto's minimum temperature on September 18 will occur during the early morning hours under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with readings stabilizing near 14–15°C. This aligns with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, as current projections cluster tightly around that threshold without significant model spread. Cooler scenarios below 9°C remain possible only with unexpected radiational cooling or a sharper air mass shift, supporting their lower 27% weighting for 8°C or below, while warmer outcomes near or above 18°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours, and final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations from Toronto-area stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 18. September?
8°C oder darunter 55%
18°C oder höher 55%
14°C 45%
17°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
55%
9°C
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
37%
14°C
45%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C oder höher
55%
8°C oder darunter 55%
18°C oder höher 55%
14°C 45%
17°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
55%
9°C
$0 Vol.
36%
10°C
$0 Vol.
36%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$12 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicates Toronto's minimum temperature on September 18 will occur during the early morning hours under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with readings stabilizing near 14–15°C. This aligns with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, as current projections cluster tightly around that threshold without significant model spread. Cooler scenarios below 9°C remain possible only with unexpected radiational cooling or a sharper air mass shift, supporting their lower 27% weighting for 8°C or below, while warmer outcomes near or above 18°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours, and final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations from Toronto-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$12Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicates Toronto's minimum temperature on September 18 will occur during the early morning hours under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with readings stabilizing near 14–15°C. This aligns with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, as current projections cluster tightly around that threshold without significant model spread. Cooler scenarios below 9°C remain possible only with unexpected radiational cooling or a sharper air mass shift, supporting their lower 27% weighting for 8°C or below, while warmer outcomes near or above 18°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours, and final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations from Toronto-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicates Toronto's minimum temperature on September 18 will occur during the early morning hours under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with readings stabilizing near 14–15°C. This aligns with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, as current projections cluster tightly around that threshold without significant model spread. Cooler scenarios below 9°C remain possible only with unexpected radiational cooling or a sharper air mass shift, supporting their lower 27% weighting for 8°C or below, while warmer outcomes near or above 18°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours, and final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations from Toronto-area stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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