Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 most likely between 12–15 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface high pressure promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent clearing after early-September showers has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater heat loss overnight while daytime highs near 22 °C limit overall cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed create uncertainty of a few degrees, keeping market-implied odds closely matched across 11–16 °C outcomes; colder values below 10 °C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently projected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 2. September?
18°C 87%
10°C 73%
13°C 57%
14°C 44%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
73%
11°C
17%
12°C
28%
13°C
57%
14°C
44%
15°C
38%
16°C
17%
17°C
14%
18°C
87%
19°C or higher
14%
18°C 87%
10°C 73%
13°C 57%
14°C 44%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
10°C
$69 Vol.
73%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
57%
14°C
$0 Vol.
44%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$15 Vol.
17%
17°C
$20 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5 Vol.
87%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 most likely between 12–15 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface high pressure promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent clearing after early-September showers has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater heat loss overnight while daytime highs near 22 °C limit overall cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed create uncertainty of a few degrees, keeping market-implied odds closely matched across 11–16 °C outcomes; colder values below 10 °C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$119Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 most likely between 12–15 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface high pressure promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent clearing after early-September showers has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater heat loss overnight while daytime highs near 22 °C limit overall cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed create uncertainty of a few degrees, keeping market-implied odds closely matched across 11–16 °C outcomes; colder values below 10 °C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$119Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 2 most likely between 12–15 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface high pressure promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent clearing after early-September showers has reduced cloud cover and humidity, allowing greater heat loss overnight while daytime highs near 22 °C limit overall cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed create uncertainty of a few degrees, keeping market-implied odds closely matched across 11–16 °C outcomes; colder values below 10 °C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer conditions than currently projected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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