Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Demokrat
89%

Republikaner
12%

Demokrat
89%

Republikaner
12%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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