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icon for Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?
Technik·AI

Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?

icon for Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?
Technik·AI

Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

SpaceXAI 26%

Tencent 26%

Anthropic 25%

OpenAI 25%

Polymarket
NEU

SpaceXAI 26%

Tencent 26%

Anthropic 25%

OpenAI 25%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Google

Google

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Meta

Meta

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$0 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das zweitbeste AI-Agenten-Labor sein?

Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das zweitbeste AI-Agenten-Labor sein?

45%
Ja
icon for Wird Moonshot Ende Oktober 2026 das drittbeste AI Agent Lab sein?

Wird Moonshot Ende Oktober 2026 das drittbeste AI Agent Lab sein?

42%
Ja
icon for Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

86%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „SpaceXAI" mit 26%, gefolgt von „Tencent" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 26¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 19 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?" ist „SpaceXAI" mit 26%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Tencent" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Das drittbeste KI-Agent-Labor Ende November?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.