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Technik·AI

#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

icon for #2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)
Technik·AI

#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

Sep. 30

Okt. 31

Dez. 1

Sep. 30

Okt. 31

Dez. 1

Meta 39%

Google 33%

Anthropic 23%

SpaceXAI 20.8%

Polymarket

$11,410 Vol.

Meta 39%

Google 33%

Anthropic 23%

SpaceXAI 20.8%

Polymarket

$11,410 Vol.

icon for Meta

Meta

$1,574 Vol.

39%

icon for Google

Google

$3,060 Vol.

33%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$1,161 Vol.

23%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$247 Vol.

21%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$322 Vol.

4%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$225 Vol.

3%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$266 Vol.

3%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$723 Vol.

3%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$243 Vol.

3%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$270 Vol.

3%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$412 Vol.

3%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$959 Vol.

3%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$215 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$219 Vol.

1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$225 Vol.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$273 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$228 Vol.

1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$197 Vol.

1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$197 Vol.

1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$197 Vol.

1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$196 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-ranked AI lab on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (style control enabled) by November 30 reflects tight competition across multiple large language model developers, with fragmented odds underscoring uncertainty over benchmark positioning. Google and Meta hold the highest implied probabilities among named labs due to sustained Gemini scaling, enterprise integrations, and Meta's open-weight releases that perform strongly under style-adjusted evaluations. Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and ByteDance narrow gaps through efficient training and cost-effective inference, while Anthropic and OpenAI trail amid expectations they may occupy top overall spots. Recent model iterations and multimodal enhancements have kept several contenders within striking distance, with resolution hinging on any late-2026 releases or capability demonstrations before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$11,410
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-ranked AI lab on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (style control enabled) by November 30 reflects tight competition across multiple large language model developers, with fragmented odds underscoring uncertainty over benchmark positioning. Google and Meta hold the highest implied probabilities among named labs due to sustained Gemini scaling, enterprise integrations, and Meta's open-weight releases that perform strongly under style-adjusted evaluations. Chinese labs such as DeepSeek and ByteDance narrow gaps through efficient training and cost-effective inference, while Anthropic and OpenAI trail amid expectations they may occupy top overall spots. Recent model iterations and multimodal enhancements have kept several contenders within striking distance, with resolution hinging on any late-2026 releases or capability demonstrations before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$11,410
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47de9d...

Verwandte

icon for Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?

Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?

41%
icon for Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?

49%
icon for Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

48%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „SpaceXAI" mit 41%, gefolgt von „Meta" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $11.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 21 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist „SpaceXAI" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Meta" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „#2 KI-Labor Ende November? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.