Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, 2026, maintains its premium $50 per million output token rate alongside $10 input pricing for long-horizon agentic coding and research workloads. Recent competitive pressure from the September 22 Opus 5.5 launch at $20 output—claiming near-parity performance at 60% lower cost—along with cache read reductions to $0.25 per million for Fable, has shaped trader views on potential 2026 price adjustments. Earlier export controls on the June Fable 5 release and ongoing rivalry with OpenAI and Google models underscore how capability benchmarks, safeguard refinements, and enterprise demand could influence whether Anthropic holds, cuts, or tiers the flagship output rate before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
31. Dez. 2026
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$0 Vol.
↑ 70 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ 60 $
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↑ 55 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↓ 45 $
$0 Vol.
27%
↓ 40 $
$0 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, 2026, maintains its premium $50 per million output token rate alongside $10 input pricing for long-horizon agentic coding and research workloads. Recent competitive pressure from the September 22 Opus 5.5 launch at $20 output—claiming near-parity performance at 60% lower cost—along with cache read reductions to $0.25 per million for Fable, has shaped trader views on potential 2026 price adjustments. Earlier export controls on the June Fable 5 release and ongoing rivalry with OpenAI and Google models underscore how capability benchmarks, safeguard refinements, and enterprise demand could influence whether Anthropic holds, cuts, or tiers the flagship output rate before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, 2026, maintains its premium $50 per million output token rate alongside $10 input pricing for long-horizon agentic coding and research workloads. Recent competitive pressure from the September 22 Opus 5.5 launch at $20 output—claiming near-parity performance at 60% lower cost—along with cache read reductions to $0.25 per million for Fable, has shaped trader views on potential 2026 price adjustments. Earlier export controls on the June Fable 5 release and ongoing rivalry with OpenAI and Google models underscore how capability benchmarks, safeguard refinements, and enterprise demand could influence whether Anthropic holds, cuts, or tiers the flagship output rate before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, 2026, maintains its premium $50 per million output token rate alongside $10 input pricing for long-horizon agentic coding and research workloads. Recent competitive pressure from the September 22 Opus 5.5 launch at $20 output—claiming near-parity performance at 60% lower cost—along with cache read reductions to $0.25 per million for Fable, has shaped trader views on potential 2026 price adjustments. Earlier export controls on the June Fable 5 release and ongoing rivalry with OpenAI and Google models underscore how capability benchmarks, safeguard refinements, and enterprise demand could influence whether Anthropic holds, cuts, or tiers the flagship output rate before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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