**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.** The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 50 $
26%
↑ 30 $
26%
↑ 25 $
26%
↓ 15 $
26%
≤ 10 $
27%
$0 Vol.
↑ 50 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ 30 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ 25 $
$0 Vol.
26%
↓ 15 $
$0 Vol.
26%
≤ 10 $
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.**
The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.**
The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingAbwickler
0x65070be91...**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.** The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen